WORLD CUP 2026 EDITION•PRICE: FREE DATA
Stage Projections

Group Outlooks

Predicted group stage dominance based on win-group probability models for all 12 groups.

Group A
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Mexico52.4%22.2%
Czech Republic26.3%11.8%
South Korea25.0%13.3%
South Africa7.7%4.8%
Group B
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Switzerland51.2%26.7%
Canada34.5%18.2%
Bosnia21.3%10.5%
Qatar3.4%2.8%
Group C
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Brazil78.7%54.5%
Morocco19.0%22.2%
Scotland10.0%11.1%
Haiti0.7%0.7%
Group D
CountryWin GroupReach QF
USA44.4%26.7%
Turkey33.3%25.0%
Paraguay20.0%11.1%
Australia12.5%5.9%
Group E
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Germany75.6%43.5%
Ecuador22.2%15.4%
Ivory Coast14.3%9.1%
Curacao0.8%0.7%
Group F
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Netherlands53.5%35.7%
Japan28.6%20.0%
Sweden22.2%13.3%
Tunisia8.3%4.8%
Group G
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Belgium69.7%40.0%
Egypt20.0%10.0%
Iran18.2%9.1%
New Zealand3.8%2.4%
Group H
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Spain81.8%61.5%
Uruguay21.3%25.0%
Saudi Arabia5.3%4.3%
Cape Verde2.4%2.0%
Group I
CountryWin GroupReach QF
France69.7%57.4%
Norway26.7%27.8%
Senegal11.8%13.3%
Iraq2.0%1.5%
Group J
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Argentina77.3%52.4%
Austria18.2%12.5%
Algeria12.5%11.1%
Jordan2.4%2.0%
Group K
CountryWin GroupReach QF
Portugal69.7%50.0%
Colombia29.4%26.3%
DR Congo8.3%5.9%
Uzbekistan2.8%2.8%
Group L
CountryWin GroupReach QF
England76.2%59.2%
Croatia22.2%20.0%
Ghana9.1%7.7%
Panama3.2%3.2%